A very quick, back-of-the-envelope computation suggests that since the '70s, the largest percentage decline in DJIA has been just under 50% from previous peak.
Using this as a guideline, the bottom would seem to be around 6000.
We're at 8500 today.
The 50% bottom is the WORST since 1970.
The range seems to be 25% to 50%. (Again, these are very hasty, eye-balled figures!!!)
If you bet on 40%, that'd represent about 7000.
30%? About 8000.
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Final Countdown
2 days ago
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