There are 4 total win/lose scenarios for outcome of OH & TX Dem primaries tomorrow, each with 4 plausible variants - for a grand total of 16 scenarios.
Here's your chance to play "Political Pundit". For each of the 16 scenarios, write your own 2-part, 30-second analysis:
Part 1: How'd it happen?
Part 2: What's it mean? (what'll the candidates do next?)
Ready? Here goes!
Scenario 1: Obama wins both OH & TX
- 1a: Obama wins both OH & TX by double-digit margins
- 1b: Obama wins OH by double-digit margin, TX by single-digit margin
- 1c: Obama wins OH by single-digit margin, TX by double-digit margin
- 1d: Obama wins both OH & TX by single-digit margins
Scenario 2: Obama wins OH, Clinton wins TX
- 2a: Obama wins OH by double-digit margin; Clinton wins TX by double-digit margin
- 2b: Obama wins OH by double-digit margin; Clinton wins TX by single-digit margin
- 2c: Obama wins OH by single-digit margin; Clinton wins TX by double-digit margin
- 2d: Obama wins OH by single-digit margin; Clinton wins TX by single-digit margin
Scenario 3: Clinton wins OH, Obama wins TX
- 3a: Clinton wins OH by double-digit margin; Obama wins TX by double-digit margin
- 3b: Clinton wins OH by double-digit margin; Obama wins TX by single-digit margin
- 3c: Clinton wins OH by single-digit margin; Obama wins TX by double-digit margin
- 3d: Clinton wins OH by single-digit margin; Obama wins TX by single-digit margin
Scenario 4: Clinton wins both OH & TX
- 4a: Clinton wins both OH & TX by double-digit margins
- 4b: Clinton wins OH by double-digit margin, TX by single-digit margin
- 4c: Clinton wins OH by single-digit margin, TX by double-digit margin
- 4d: Clinton wins both OH & TX by single-digit margins
See how you stack up against the pros Tuesday night!
note: there are no "right" answers - and it's okay to say something stupid... I mean, who's gonna know? (... and chances are you won't say anything as stupid as at least one professional commentator will say with a straight face!)
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